Blog IX: Waiting for Certainty – or Moving Despite Uncertainty?

Geopolitical tensions, energy markets, inflation, interest rates, trade disruptions – uncertainty has become a constant backdrop for strategic decisions.

And in M&A, uncertainty often leads to hesitation.

Owners postpone succession decisions. Buyers wait for more visibility. Investment committees become cautious. Everyone hopes for a “better moment” to act.

But does that moment actually exist?

In practice, we often see that strategically driven companies continue to pursue acquisitions even during uncertain periods. Not because uncertainty creates confidence – but because periods of hesitation can also create opportunity.

Waiting may feel safer. But waiting also has a cost:
attractive opportunities may disappear
competitors may move first
and internal momentum may fade
At the same time, uncertainty changes valuations, financing conditions, and seller expectations. What looked expensive two years ago may suddenly become accessible. And companies with a clear strategy often find opportunities when others pause.

This doesn’t mean ignoring risk. Quite the opposite.

The real challenge is distinguishing between temporary noise and structural change. Between fear-driven paralysis and disciplined patience.

There is rarely a perfect moment to start a strategic journey.

In many cases, the better question is not “Is now the right time?”
but rather: “Are we clear enough about where we want to be in five years?“